Floriana 3-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
18%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.03
No
59%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
3%
1/X
12%
X/1
27%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
65%
-7.5pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.6pp
18%
Away Win
14%
+4.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
45%
-4.7pp
60%
BTTS No
55%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 17%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.51/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.39
-3% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Mosta
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
59% Ball Possession 41%
11 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.03.2025 Floriana Floriana 2-0 HT 1-0 Mosta Mosta MLTAK
02.03.2025 Floriana Floriana 2-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MALTP
23.11.2024 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
03.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
13.04.2024 Floriana Floriana 4-0 HT 3-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
09.12.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Floriana
3-0
AWAY Mosta
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 0
6 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana cruised past Mosta 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Floriana had 54% of the ball to Mosta's 46%, shots finished 8-0.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Floriana and 0.33 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Mosta?

Floriana 3-0 Mosta in the MALTP on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Floriana 57%, draw 25%, Mosta 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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