Hibernians FC 1-1 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
31%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
43%
Away Win
43%
+0.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 48%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.49
-6% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -48%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
237 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Balzan FC
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.03.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MALTP
01.11.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
24.02.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
22.10.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
01.05.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-3 HT 0-1 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
05.02.2023 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
1-1
AWAY Balzan FC
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC and Balzan FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Balzan FC at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 39% of the ball to Balzan FC's 61%, shots finished 4-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Balzan FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.17 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Balzan FC?

Hibernians FC 1-1 Balzan FC in the MALTP on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 28%, draw 28%, Balzan FC 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Balzan FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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