Floriana 2-0 Mosta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
18%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.91
Over 2.5
40%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.13
No
61%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
39%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
68%
-8.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.9pp
18%
Away Win
12%
+6.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
48%
+11.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
52%
-11.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
43%
-3.5pp
61%
BTTS No
57%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Floriana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Mosta EU Bookmakers 15%
-23% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
2.96/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
+3% / -45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -32%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
422 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Floriana
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Mosta
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2025 Floriana Floriana 2-2 HT 0-1 Mosta Mosta MALTP
23.11.2024 Floriana Floriana 1-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
03.10.2024 Mosta Mosta 0-2 HT 0-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
13.04.2024 Floriana Floriana 4-0 HT 3-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
09.12.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-2 Floriana Floriana MLTP
12.02.2023 Mosta Mosta 2-0 HT 1-0 Floriana Floriana MLTP
POST-MATCH Floriana vs Mosta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Floriana got the better of Mosta 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Floriana as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Floriana had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Floriana and 0.67 for Mosta.

What was the final score of Floriana vs Mosta?

Floriana 2-0 Mosta in the Malta - FA Cup on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Floriana vs Mosta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Floriana win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Floriana 59%, draw 23%, Mosta 18%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Floriana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Floriana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MLTAK More Malta - FA Cup
5 Mar 2025
21:00 Birkirkara vs Valletta Analysis →