Birkirkara 3-1 Valletta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - FA Cup, 5 Mar 2025

📅05/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.66
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
56%
-7.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-2.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.9pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Valletta EU Bookmakers 23%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +62% / +62%
3.00/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
+40% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
492 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Valletta
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.02.2024 Valletta Valletta 0-1 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
27.09.2023 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
05.02.2023 Valletta Valletta 1-1 HT 1-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
02.10.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 3-0 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
12.03.2022 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-1 HT 1-0 Valletta Valletta MLTP
04.12.2021 Valletta Valletta 0-0 HT 0-0 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
3-1
AWAY Valletta
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Valletta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birkirkara saw off Valletta 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birkirkara as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birkirkara had 46% of the ball to Valletta's 54%, shots finished 8-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Birkirkara and 0.50 for Valletta.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Valletta?

Birkirkara 3-1 Valletta in the Malta - FA Cup on 05/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Valletta?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 48%, draw 25%, Valletta 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birkirkara), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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