Elgin City 1-1 Spartans — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 2nd Division, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
22%
3.11
Away
42%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.71
Over 2.5
53%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.86
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
29%
4.09
6+ Goals
7%
19.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-5.8pp
22%
Draw
29%
-6.8pp
42%
Away Win
30%
+12.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
55%
-7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
45%
+7.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elgin City EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartans EU Bookmakers 33%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +12%
1.30/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.07
-3% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elgin City
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartans
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
06.04.2024 Elgin City Elgin City 2-2 HT 0-1 Spartans Spartans İK2
10.02.2024 Spartans Spartans 1-2 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
16.12.2023 Elgin City Elgin City 0-4 HT 0-3 Spartans Spartans İK2
19.08.2023 Spartans Spartans 2-1 HT 0-0 Elgin City Elgin City İK2
24.10.2015 Elgin City Elgin City 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartans Spartans İKK
POST-MATCH Elgin City vs Spartans
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elgin City and Spartans couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spartans at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Elgin City and 1.80 for Spartans.

What was the final score of Elgin City vs Spartans?

Elgin City 1-1 Spartans in the Scotland - 2nd Division on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elgin City vs Spartans?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartans win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Elgin City 36%, draw 22%, Spartans 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartans), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartans) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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