Tecnico Universitario 3-0 Libertad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ecuador - Premier, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
22%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.71
Over 2.5
44%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.09
No
58%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
60%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.8pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.7pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tecnico Universitario EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Libertad EU Bookmakers 20%
+2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.65/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.71
-6% / +30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
329 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 273 · 72%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
23.0 Crosses 11.2
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tecnico Universitario
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Libertad
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.11 xG 1.02
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
225 Passes 235
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
16 Box Touches 19
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
30.03.2024 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
27.11.2023 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario 1-1 HT 0-0 Libertad Libertad EKV1
10.06.2023 Libertad Libertad 1-0 HT 0-0 Tecnico Universitario Tecnico Universitario EKV1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tecnico Universitario
3-0
AWAY Libertad
1.29 xG 0.78
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
259 Passes 219
82% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 12
24 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tecnico Universitario swept aside Libertad 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Tecnico Universitario as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Tecnico Universitario had 51% of the ball to Libertad's 49%, shots finished 11-9, expected goals 1.29 to 0.78.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Libertad led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Tecnico Universitario and 1.00 for Libertad.

What was the final score of Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?

Tecnico Universitario 3-0 Libertad in the Ecuador - Premier on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tecnico Universitario vs Libertad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tecnico Universitario win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Tecnico Universitario 53%, draw 26%, Libertad 22%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tecnico Universitario), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tecnico Universitario) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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