Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 SuperSport United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 17 Sep 2024

Mamelodi Sundowns
2-0 HT 0-0
SuperSport United
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✓
South Afrika - Premier League – 2024/2025

Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.47
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
22%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.33
No
53%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.66
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
17%
4.41
6+ Goals
7%
22.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.66 — our 33% vs market 31.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
12%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
64%
-16.6pp
30%
Draw
23%
+7.3pp
22%
Away Win
13%
+9.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
39%
+8.4pp
53%
BTTS No
61%
-8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mamelodi Sundowns v SuperSport United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY SuperSport United EU Bookmakers 16%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.50/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.54
+10% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +6%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
429 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 71%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
15.7 Crosses 18.7
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.6

Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
4W-1D-1L
AWAY SuperSport United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.82 xG 0.76
72% Ball Possession 28%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
498 Passes 138
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
25 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
12.03.2024 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-1 HT 1-1 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
29.11.2023 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-2 HT 0-2 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
16.01.2023 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 1-0 HT 1-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAFPSL
02.09.2022 SuperSport United SuperSport United 2-1 HT 2-0 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL
28.08.2022 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 HT 0-0 SuperSport United SuperSport United GAF8K
11.12.2021 SuperSport United SuperSport United 0-1 HT 0-1 Mamelodi Sundowns Mamelodi Sundowns GAFPSL

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 SuperSport United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mamelodi Sundowns
2-0
AWAY SuperSport United
2.03 xG 0.43
71% Ball Possession 29%
10 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
524 Passes 150
86% Pass Accuracy 63%
14 Box Touches 15
9 Crosses 11
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mamelodi Sundowns got the better of SuperSport United 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mamelodi Sundowns as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mamelodi Sundowns had 71% of the ball to SuperSport United's 29%, shots finished 10-6, expected goals 2.03 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mamelodi Sundowns had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Mamelodi Sundowns and 0.50 for SuperSport United.

What was the final score of Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United?

Mamelodi Sundowns 2-0 SuperSport United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mamelodi Sundowns vs SuperSport United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mamelodi Sundowns win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mamelodi Sundowns 48%, draw 30%, SuperSport United 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mamelodi Sundowns) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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