Twente 2-0 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 17 Sep 2024

Twente
2-0 HT 2-0
Heerenveen
📅17/09/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2024/2025

Twente vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
17%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.89
Over 2.5
55%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
6.64
2-3 Goals
41%
2.14
4-5 Goals
28%
2.5
6+ Goals
12%
5.12
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.53
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
20.05
X/1
22%
3.75
X/2
6%
17.85
X/X
8%
8.7
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
19.55
2/2
6%
12.05
2/X
5%
19.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 19.55 — our 11% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
70%
-8.0pp
21%
Draw
17%
+3.6pp
17%
Away Win
12%
+4.3pp
45%
Under 2.5
31%
+14.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
69%
-14.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.7pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Twente v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Twente EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -4%
2.28/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.63
-7% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
374 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 77%
37.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
25.6 Crosses 13.5
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.6

Twente vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Twente
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Heerenveen
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.85 xG 1.15
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
421 Passes 249
82% Pass Accuracy 74%
34 Box Touches 18
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.04.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 3-3 HT 2-3 Twente Twente HOL
30.09.2023 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
04.06.2023 Twente Twente 4-0 HT 3-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
01.06.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
04.03.2023 Twente Twente 3-3 HT 1-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
18.09.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-1 HT 2-1 Twente Twente HOL

Twente 2-0 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Twente
2-0
AWAY Heerenveen
3.03 xG 0.70
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
364 Passes 356
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
30 Box Touches 17
18 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Twente vs Heerenveen
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Twente beat Heerenveen 2-0 in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17 Sep 2024.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 55% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Twente had 51% of the ball to Heerenveen's 49%, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 3.03 to 0.70.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente have the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Twente and 1.50 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of Twente vs Heerenveen?

Twente 2-0 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Twente vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Twente 62%, draw 21%, Heerenveen 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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