Heerenveen 3-3 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 3 Apr 2024

Heerenveen
3-3 HT 2-3
Twente
📅03/04/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2023/2024

Heerenveen vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.5
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
45%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.03
Over 2.5
61%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
3.82
2-3 Goals
45%
1.83
4-5 Goals
26%
3.21
6+ Goals
10%
11.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
6.01
1/2
6%
22.3
1/X
6%
14.6
X/1
10%
8.25
X/2
17%
4.22
X/X
9%
5.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.38
2/X
7%
14.15
Value flag · 2/1 at 34.5 — our 10% vs market 1.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.8pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.9pp
46%
Away Win
51%
-5.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
45%
-6.4pp
61%
Over 2.5
55%
+6.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heerenveen v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 56%
+6% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +4%
1.34/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.86/0.99
+24% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 380 · 80%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.6
15.5 Crosses 22.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Heerenveen vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Twente
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.02 xG 1.90
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 7
248 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
18 Box Touches 34
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.09.2023 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
04.06.2023 Twente Twente 4-0 HT 3-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
01.06.2023 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-2 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL
04.03.2023 Twente Twente 3-3 HT 1-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
18.09.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-1 HT 2-1 Twente Twente HOL
15.01.2022 Twente Twente 2-0 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL

Heerenveen 3-3 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
3-3
AWAY Twente
1.60 xG 1.69
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
252 Passes 419
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Heerenveen vs Twente
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Heerenveen and Twente shared the points in a 3-3 draw in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 3 Apr 2024. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

The goals market leaned clearly over 2.5, at 61% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Heerenveen had 40% of the ball to Twente's 60%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.60 to 1.69.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente lead the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heerenveen and 2.17 for Twente.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs Twente?

Heerenveen 3-3 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 33%, draw 22%, Twente 46%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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