Birmingham City U21 4-1 Millwall U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Professional Development League, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.57
Draw
38%
3.8
Away
23%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
31%
3.17
Over 2.5
69%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
72%
1.31
No
28%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
23%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
6%
2/X
18%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.3pp
38%
Draw
22%
+15.9pp
23%
Away Win
43%
-20.3pp
31%
Under 2.5
28%
+2.5pp
69%
Over 2.5
72%
-2.5pp
72%
BTTS Yes
72%
+0.2pp
28%
BTTS No
28%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham City U21 EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Millwall U21 EU Bookmakers 48%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.01/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.36
+24% / +126% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +22%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham City U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Millwall U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.05.2024 Millwall U21 Millwall U21 1-2 HT 1-1 Birmingham City U21 Birmingham City U21 INGPDL
POST-MATCH Birmingham City U21 vs Millwall U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham City U21 swept aside Millwall U21 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (39% / 38% / 23%) promised a tight game; Birmingham City U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (69%), both teams to score (72%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Birmingham City U21 vs Millwall U21?

Birmingham City U21 4-1 Millwall U21 in the England - Professional Development League on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham City U21 vs Millwall U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Birmingham City U21 39%, draw 38%, Millwall U21 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham City U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham City U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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