Rigas Skola 4-1 BFC Daugavpils — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Latvia - Virsliga, 17 Sep 2024

📅17/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
69%
1.11
Draw
18%
8.11
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
3.59
Over 2.5
58%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.27
No
54%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
46%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
4%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
69%
Home Win
85%
-15.9pp
18%
Draw
9%
+9.1pp
13%
Away Win
6%
+6.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
24%
+17.8pp
58%
Over 2.5
76%
-17.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.8pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rigas Skola EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY BFC Daugavpils EU Bookmakers 9%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +7%
2.73/0.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/2.18
+24% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
385 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 76%
45.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.6
26.3 Crosses 11.8
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rigas Skola
5W-1D-0L
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
3.01 xG 0.56
69% Ball Possession 31%
24 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
506 Passes 180
86% Pass Accuracy 66%
52 Box Touches 11
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.05.2024 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 5-0 HT 1-0 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
07.04.2024 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 1-1 HT 0-1 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
29.10.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
08.08.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-1 HT 0-0 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
30.05.2023 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola 3-1 HT 1-1 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils LET
19.04.2023 BFC Daugavpils BFC Daugavpils 0-5 HT 0-2 Rigas Skola Rigas Skola LET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rigas Skola
4-1
AWAY BFC Daugavpils
3.51 xG 0.59
71% Ball Possession 29%
37 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 3
514 Passes 168
89% Pass Accuracy 70%
50 Box Touches 9
30 Crosses 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rigas Skola cruised past BFC Daugavpils 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rigas Skola as the likeliest winner at 69%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Rigas Skola had 71% of the ball to BFC Daugavpils's 29%, shots finished 37-8, expected goals 3.51 to 0.59.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rigas Skola had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Rigas Skola and 0.50 for BFC Daugavpils.

What was the final score of Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Rigas Skola 4-1 BFC Daugavpils in the Latvia - Virsliga on 17/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rigas Skola vs BFC Daugavpils?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rigas Skola win the most likely single outcome at about 69%, with the full match-result split Rigas Skola 69%, draw 18%, BFC Daugavpils 13%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rigas Skola), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rigas Skola) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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