Chapecoense 2-3 Atletico Paranaense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Sep 2025

Chapecoense
2 - 3 HT 0 - 1
Atletico Paranaense
📅17/09/2025 · 🕒03:35 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
Brazil - Serie B – 2025

Chapecoense vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
36%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
59%
1.56
Over
41%
2.2
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.97
No
51%
1.74
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.29
2-3
48%
1.7
4-5
16%
4.59
6+
3%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
2%
2/2
20%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — green bars inside a box show the pattern support behind that selection, from Good · Strong · Very strong to Great — the deeper the historical record, the fuller the bar; informational, not a sized bet.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.

Chapecoense v Atletico Paranaense — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Chapecoense The Market 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Paranaense The Market 40%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.07 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.39
1.23 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
Average Attack Strength Great
Weak Defense Strength Bad
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 80%
17 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17
21 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2

Chapecoense vs Atletico Paranaense Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chapecoense
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.30 xG 1.59
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
227 Passes 403
75% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.05.2025 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-1 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
14.10.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
28.06.2021 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 2-2 HT 1-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
30.09.2019 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense 1-1 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
05.05.2019 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1
14.09.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense BR1

Chapecoense 2-3 Atletico Paranaense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chapecoense
2 - 3
AWAY Atletico Paranaense
1.35 xG 2.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 2
360 Passes 244
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Chapecoense vs Atletico Paranaense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Atletico Paranaense found just enough to beat Chapecoense 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. With 5 goals, entertainment was never the problem.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Atletico Paranaense made the difference. The one blemish: under 2.5 goals (59%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Chapecoense had 58% of the ball to Atletico Paranaense's 42%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.35 to 2.22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chapecoense had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chapecoense and 1.17 for Atletico Paranaense.

Chapecoense vs Atletico Paranaense Result & Final Score

Chapecoense 2 - 3 Atletico Paranaense in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Chapecoense vs Atletico Paranaense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Atletico Paranaense win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 33%, draw 31%, Atletico Paranaense 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Paranaense) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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