Mes Kerman 1-0 Besat Kermanshah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.09
Draw
37%
2.88
Away
23%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.36
Over 2.5
30%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.51
No
61%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
44%
1.74
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
14%
7.2
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
44%
-4.2pp
37%
Draw
31%
+5.1pp
23%
Away Win
24%
-0.9pp
70%
Under 2.5
70%
-0.3pp
30%
Over 2.5
30%
+0.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
36%
+3.4pp
61%
BTTS No
64%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Besat Kermanshah EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.01/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.02
-9% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -2%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Kerman
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Besat Kermanshah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
25.02.2025 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 2-2 HT 1-2 Besat Kermanshah IRANAZ
09.10.2024 Besat Kermanshah 1-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Kerman vs Besat Kermanshah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Kerman nicked a narrow win over Besat Kermanshah 1-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 37% / 23%) promised a tight game; Mes Kerman found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Besat Kermanshah led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mes Kerman and 1.50 for Besat Kermanshah.

What was the final score of Mes Kerman vs Besat Kermanshah?

Mes Kerman 1-0 Besat Kermanshah in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Kerman vs Besat Kermanshah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Kerman win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Mes Kerman 40%, draw 37%, Besat Kermanshah 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Kerman), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mes Kerman) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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