Saipa 1-0 Niroye Zamini — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.72
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
13%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
71%
1.36
Over 2.5
29%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
33%
2.81
No
67%
1.38
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
49%
1.75
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
9%
7.18
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.75 — our 49% vs market 46.9%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
3%
X/X
24%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
55%
-1.3pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.8pp
13%
Away Win
16%
-3.5pp
71%
Under 2.5
70%
+0.8pp
29%
Over 2.5
30%
-0.8pp
33%
BTTS Yes
32%
+1.1pp
67%
BTTS No
68%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saipa EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Niroye Zamini EU Bookmakers 19%
+16% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.35/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.35
-3% / +84% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
296 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saipa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Niroye Zamini
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
25.02.2025 Saipa Saipa 0-1 HT 0-0 Niroye Zamini Niroye Zamini IRANAZ
09.10.2024 Niroye Zamini Niroye Zamini 0-1 HT 0-1 Saipa Saipa IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Saipa vs Niroye Zamini
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saipa edged past Niroye Zamini 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Saipa as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (71%), no to both teams scoring (67%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Saipa and 0.50 for Niroye Zamini.

What was the final score of Saipa vs Niroye Zamini?

Saipa 1-0 Niroye Zamini in the Iran - Azadegan League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saipa vs Niroye Zamini?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saipa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Saipa 53%, draw 34%, Niroye Zamini 13%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saipa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saipa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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