Hutnik Krakow 3-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.06
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
8.18
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.06 — our 28% vs market 18.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-5.0pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.7pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hutnik Krakow EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.73/0.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.58
-11% / +135% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
411 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hutnik Krakow
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.11.2024 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
19.07.2024 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 5-0 HT 3-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
24.02.2024 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 1-1 HT 0-1 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
13.08.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 1-0 HT 0-0 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
25.02.2023 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj 0-1 HT 0-1 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow POL2
31.07.2022 Hutnik Krakow Hutnik Krakow 0-0 HT 0-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj Jastrzebie Zdroj POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hutnik Krakow
3-0
AWAY Jastrzebie Zdroj
52% Ball Possession 48%
17 Total Shots 9
10 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hutnik Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hutnik Krakow ran out comfortable winners over Jastrzebie Zdroj 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hutnik Krakow as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Hutnik Krakow had 52% of the ball to Jastrzebie Zdroj's 48%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hutnik Krakow and 1.17 for Jastrzebie Zdroj.

What was the final score of Hutnik Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Hutnik Krakow 3-0 Jastrzebie Zdroj in the Poland - 2nd Division on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hutnik Krakow vs Jastrzebie Zdroj?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hutnik Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hutnik Krakow 53%, draw 22%, Jastrzebie Zdroj 25%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hutnik Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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