Bayern München U19 2-3 Chelsea U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.63
Over 2.5
55%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.39
No
47%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.84
2-3 Goals
34%
2.02
4-5 Goals
24%
2.41
6+ Goals
15%
5.04
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.3pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.2pp
38%
Away Win
31%
+7.5pp
45%
Under 2.5
34%
+11.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
66%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.6pp
47%
BTTS No
32%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern München U19 EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U19 EU Bookmakers 34%
+21% / +21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -45% / -45%
1.80/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/3.29
+35% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -66%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
454 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 79%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
14.0 Crosses 17.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bayern München U19
2-3
AWAY Chelsea U19
0.74 xG 1.29
45% Ball Possession 55%
18 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
284 Passes 381
82% Pass Accuracy 88%
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bayern München U19 vs Chelsea U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U19 edged past Bayern München U19 3-2 away from home. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (41% / 20% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chelsea U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bayern München U19 had 45% of the ball to Chelsea U19's 55%, shots finished 18-14, expected goals 0.74 to 1.29.

What was the final score of Bayern München U19 vs Chelsea U19?

Bayern München U19 2-3 Chelsea U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern München U19 vs Chelsea U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bayern München U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Bayern München U19 41%, draw 20%, Chelsea U19 38%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bayern München U19) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bayern München U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
UEGL More UEFA - Youth League
17 Sep 2025
13:30 Olympiakos U19 vs Paphos U19 Analysis →
14:00 Slavia Prag U19 vs Bodo / Glimt U19 Analysis →
15:30 Paris SG U19 vs Atalanta U19 Analysis →
16:00 Ajax U19 vs Inter U19 Analysis →
16:00 FS Jelgava U19 vs KA U19 Analysis →
17:00 Liverpool U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19 Analysis →