Paris SG U19 5-1 Atalanta U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 17 Sep 2025

📅17/09/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.75
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
20%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.46
Over 2.5
66%
1.28
Both Teams to Score
Yes
70%
1.32
No
30%
3.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
8.09
2-3 Goals
40%
2.31
4-5 Goals
27%
2.24
6+ Goals
21%
3.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
53%
+3.5pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
21%
Away Win
26%
-5.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
25%
+8.7pp
66%
Over 2.5
75%
-8.7pp
70%
BTTS Yes
72%
-1.6pp
30%
BTTS No
28%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris SG U19 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atalanta U19 EU Bookmakers 29%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.63/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/3.56
+83% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -51%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
340 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 82%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris SG U19
5-1
AWAY Atalanta U19
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
13 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paris SG U19 vs Atalanta U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paris SG U19 ran out comfortable winners over Atalanta U19 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paris SG U19 as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (70%) came in.

On the day, Paris SG U19 had 60% of the ball to Atalanta U19's 40%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Paris SG U19 vs Atalanta U19?

Paris SG U19 5-1 Atalanta U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris SG U19 vs Atalanta U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paris SG U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Paris SG U19 57%, draw 23%, Atalanta U19 21%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paris SG U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Paris SG U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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