17/09/2025
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-1
2nd Score
0-0
NEC vs SC Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
18%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
15%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
37%
Draw
31%
32%
Away Win
39%
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
51%
BTTS No
57%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC v SC Villa — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
NEC
EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY
SC Villa
EU Bookmakers 43%
+8% /
+8%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
-100%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
48%
Ball Possession
52%
11
Total Shots
11
4
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
5
271 · 76%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
307 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
NEC vs SC Villa Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
NEC
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
SC Villa
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
1.00
46%
Ball Possession
54%
15
Total Shots
12
6
Shots on Target
4
8
Corners
2
3
Yellow Cards
1
The Meetings
NEC 0-2 SC Villa — Actual Match Statistics
RESULT
Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME
NEC
0-2
AWAY
SC Villa
57%
Ball Possession
43%
8
Total Shots
12
1
Shots on Target
6
3
Corners
4
2
Yellow Cards
3
POST-MATCH
NEC vs SC Villa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
SC Villa saw off NEC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 37% / 32% — and on the day SC Villa made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%) came in.
On the day, NEC had 57% of the ball to SC Villa's 43%, shots finished 8-12.
What was the final score of NEC vs SC Villa?
NEC 0-2 SC Villa in the UGS8 on 17/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC vs SC Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split NEC 31%, draw 37%, SC Villa 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Draw)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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