Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Oct 2024

Shrewsbury
0-2
Exeter City
📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Shrewsbury vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
40%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.8
Over
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.07
2-3
43%
1.78
4-5
21%
3.81
6+
12%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.28
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
13.85
X/1
11%
5.9
X/2
12%
4.92
X/X
11%
4.54
2/1
8%
32.5
2/2
21%
3.32
2/X
8%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 52% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
40%
Away Win
40%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 43%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.07/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.08
+0% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
265 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 72%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.5
18.7 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.1

Shrewsbury vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Exeter City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 0.73
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
172 Passes 404
59% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 20
12 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.03.2024 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 0-3 HT 0-3 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
28.11.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
14.02.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
13.09.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-2 HT 2-2 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
11.04.2015 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 4-0 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
22.11.2014 Exeter City Exeter City 3-2 HT 0-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2

Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-2
AWAY Exeter City
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
400 Passes 305
81% Pass Accuracy 78%
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City got the better of Shrewsbury 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 40%) promised a tight game; Exeter City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 56% of the ball to Exeter City's 44%, shots finished 13-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.33 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?

Shrewsbury 0-2 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Exeter City win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 34%, draw 27%, Exeter City 40%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Exeter City) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Exeter City) ✗ BTTS Yes
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