Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 12 Mar 2024

Shrewsbury
0-3 HT 0-3
Exeter City
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Shrewsbury vs Exeter City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.59
Over 2.5
44%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.96
No
54%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.47
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.83
6+ Goals
10%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.88
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
14.0
X/1
13%
5.18
X/2
11%
5.38
X/X
11%
3.87
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
16%
4.08
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.8pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-3.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shrewsbury v Exeter City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shrewsbury EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Exeter City EU Bookmakers 37%
+3% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.13/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.02
+5% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
237 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 70%
19.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.8
19.7 Crosses 15.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.4

Shrewsbury vs Exeter City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shrewsbury
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Exeter City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 0.60
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
188 Passes 337
60% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
28.11.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
14.02.2023 Exeter City Exeter City 0-0 HT 0-0 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN1
13.09.2022 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 3-2 HT 2-2 Exeter City Exeter City İN1
11.04.2015 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 4-0 HT 1-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2
22.11.2014 Exeter City Exeter City 3-2 HT 0-2 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury İN2
03.03.2009 Shrewsbury Shrewsbury 1-1 HT 0-0 Exeter City Exeter City İN2

Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shrewsbury
0-3
AWAY Exeter City
0.25 xG 1.12
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
127 Passes 606
56% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 22
3 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shrewsbury vs Exeter City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Exeter City swept aside Shrewsbury 3-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Exeter City made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shrewsbury had 24% of the ball to Exeter City's 76%, shots finished 6-13, expected goals 0.25 to 1.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shrewsbury had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Shrewsbury and 1.00 for Exeter City.

What was the final score of Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?

Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter City in the England - 1st Division on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shrewsbury vs Exeter City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shrewsbury win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Shrewsbury 39%, draw 27%, Exeter City 34%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Shrewsbury), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shrewsbury) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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