Northampton Town 0-1 Blackpool — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
39%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.99
No
60%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.99
1/2
8%
29.0
1/X
6%
15.15
X/1
10%
7.19
X/2
11%
4.18
X/X
14%
4.0
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
20%
2.81
2/X
7%
14.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+8.8pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
39%
Away Win
46%
-7.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
46%
-5.8pp
60%
BTTS No
54%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northampton Town EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Blackpool EU Bookmakers 50%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -30%
0.98/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.54
-6% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -37%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
207 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 378 · 77%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
19.3 Crosses 24.0
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northampton Town
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Blackpool
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.52 xG 2.18
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
202 Passes 290
58% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 23
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 0
28.11.2023 Blackpool Blackpool 1-2 HT 0-1 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
01.05.2021 Northampton Town Northampton Town 0-3 HT 0-1 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
02.02.2021 Blackpool Blackpool 2-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
10.04.2018 Blackpool Blackpool 3-0 HT 1-0 Northampton Town Northampton Town İN1
28.10.2017 Northampton Town Northampton Town 1-0 HT 1-0 Blackpool Blackpool İN1
11.08.2015 Northampton Town Northampton Town 3-0 HT 3-0 Blackpool Blackpool İNLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northampton Town
0-1
AWAY Blackpool
0.30 xG 2.36
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
341 Passes 378
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Northampton Town vs Blackpool
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Blackpool edged past Northampton Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (34% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Blackpool found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Northampton Town had 49% of the ball to Blackpool's 51%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.30 to 2.36 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Blackpool's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Northampton Town and 1.50 for Blackpool.

What was the final score of Northampton Town vs Blackpool?

Northampton Town 0-1 Blackpool in the England - 1st Division on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northampton Town vs Blackpool?

Before kick-off our model rated an Blackpool win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Northampton Town 34%, draw 27%, Blackpool 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Blackpool), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Blackpool) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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