Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Wigan Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.75
Over 2.5
52%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.85
No
50%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.95
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.95
6+ Goals
10%
17.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.58
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.3
X/1
18%
4.16
X/2
7%
7.69
X/X
12%
4.53
2/1
9%
25.5
2/2
11%
6.09
2/X
7%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.9pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Wigan Athletic EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -17%
1.58/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.36
-12% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -22%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
298 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 238 · 70%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.3
21.6 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.91 xG 1.10
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
157 Passes 328
61% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 24
14 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.01.2024 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
22.02.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-0 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
17.08.2021 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
22.02.2003 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-1 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic İN1
07.09.2002 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 3-0 HT 2-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
23.02.2002 Wigan Athletic Wigan Athletic 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1-0
AWAY Wigan Athletic
0.33 xG 1.23
34% Ball Possession 66%
5 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 10
193 Passes 467
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
9 Box Touches 33
11 Crosses 35
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers squeezed past Wigan Athletic 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Wycombe Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 34% of the ball to Wigan Athletic's 66%, shots finished 5-18, expected goals 0.33 to 1.23 — on chances, Wigan Athletic could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wigan Athletic led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.67 for Wigan Athletic.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic?

Wycombe Wanderers 1-0 Wigan Athletic in the England - 1st Division on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Wigan Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 48%, draw 26%, Wigan Athletic 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5
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