Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 12 Mar 2024

Leyton Orient
0-0 HT 0-0
Port Vale
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
England - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Leyton Orient vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.67
Over 2.5
40%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.7
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.34
6+ Goals
9%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 35% vs market 31.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.22
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.95
X/1
11%
3.75
X/2
7%
9.43
X/X
14%
4.67
2/1
8%
25.5
2/2
11%
7.95
2/X
7%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.5pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.1pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+3.3pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.5pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Leyton Orient v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leyton Orient EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale EU Bookmakers 23%
-10% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -2%
1.46/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.42
-15% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -25%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
321 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 212 · 63%
28.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
21.5 Crosses 16.8
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3

Leyton Orient vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leyton Orient
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Port Vale
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.09 xG 1.24
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
248 Passes 225
65% Pass Accuracy 63%
18 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.02.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 0-1 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN1
22.01.2022 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
02.10.2021 Port Vale Port Vale 3-2 HT 1-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
20.02.2021 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN2
28.11.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 2-3 HT 1-2 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2
18.01.2020 Port Vale Port Vale 1-0 HT 0-0 Leyton Orient Leyton Orient İN2

Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leyton Orient
0-0
AWAY Port Vale
0.42 xG 0.47
59% Ball Possession 41%
8 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 2
386 Passes 211
75% Pass Accuracy 59%
16 Box Touches 19
22 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leyton Orient vs Port Vale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leyton Orient and Port Vale fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Leyton Orient at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Leyton Orient had 59% of the ball to Port Vale's 41%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.42 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Leyton Orient and 1.17 for Port Vale.

What was the final score of Leyton Orient vs Port Vale?

Leyton Orient 0-0 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leyton Orient vs Port Vale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leyton Orient win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Leyton Orient 48%, draw 28%, Port Vale 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Leyton Orient) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leyton Orient) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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