Sport Recife 1-2 Operario PR — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.51
Over 2.5
39%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.53
No
59%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.26
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.46
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
60%
-7.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+3.8pp
61%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.0pp
39%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.0pp
41%
BTTS Yes
36%
+5.4pp
59%
BTTS No
64%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Recife EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Operario PR EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.40/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.39
+36% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -10%
54% Ball Possession 46%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
343 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.7
20.9 Crosses 17.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Recife
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Operario PR
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.07 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
329 Passes 271
74% Pass Accuracy 71%
26 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2022 Sport Recife Sport Recife 5-1 HT 3-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
15.07.2022 Operario PR Operario PR 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
29.09.2019 Sport Recife Sport Recife 3-1 HT 1-0 Operario PR Operario PR BR2
29.05.2019 Operario PR Operario PR 2-1 HT 0-1 Sport Recife Sport Recife BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Recife
1-2
AWAY Operario PR
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 3
11 Corners 1
321 Passes 269
76% Pass Accuracy 75%
POST-MATCH Sport Recife vs Operario PR
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Operario PR nicked a narrow win over Sport Recife 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Recife at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sport Recife had 56% of the ball to Operario PR's 44%, shots finished 11-5.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sport Recife had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Sport Recife and 1.00 for Operario PR.

What was the final score of Sport Recife vs Operario PR?

Sport Recife 1-2 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Recife vs Operario PR?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Recife win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sport Recife 52%, draw 29%, Operario PR 19%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sport Recife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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