Chapecoense vs Santos Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chapecoense v Santos — Team-Based Signals
Chapecoense vs Santos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Santos
BR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Chapecoense
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Santos
BR1
0-1
HT 0-1
Chapecoense
BR1
Chapecoense 3-2 Santos — Actual Match Statistics
Chapecoense edged past Santos 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Chapecoense made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Chapecoense had 46% of the ball to Santos's 54%, shots finished 17-15, expected goals 1.74 to 1.40.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Chapecoense and 1.17 for Santos.
What was the final score of Chapecoense vs Santos?
Chapecoense 3-2 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chapecoense vs Santos?
Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Chapecoense 31%, draw 32%, Santos 37%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.