NorthEast United 2-3 Chennaiyin FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 17 Oct 2024

NorthEast United
2-3
Chennaiyin FC
📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2024/2025

NorthEast United vs Chennaiyin FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.38
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.21
Over 2.5
48%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.5
No
50%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
4.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.9
4-5 Goals
22%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.49 — our 25% vs market 17.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
38%
+1.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.9pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
62%
-12.1pp
50%
BTTS No
38%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

NorthEast United v Chennaiyin FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME NorthEast United EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Chennaiyin FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -8%
1.17/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.43
-33% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +0%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
19.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
18.8 Crosses 20.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9

NorthEast United vs Chennaiyin FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME NorthEast United
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Chennaiyin FC
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
1.62 xG 1.43
45% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
235 Passes 318
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
09.04.2024 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-1 HT 0-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
29.09.2023 NorthEast United NorthEast United 3-0 HT 1-0 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
11.04.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 4-2 HT 2-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HINSK
24.02.2023 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 4-3 HT 1-0 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
10.12.2022 NorthEast United NorthEast United 3-7 HT 1-3 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC HİNSL
22.01.2022 Chennaiyin FC Chennaiyin FC 2-1 HT 0-1 NorthEast United NorthEast United HİNSL
POST-MATCH NorthEast United vs Chennaiyin FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chennaiyin FC squeezed past NorthEast United 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Chennaiyin FC made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chennaiyin FC led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for NorthEast United and 3.17 for Chennaiyin FC.

What was the final score of NorthEast United vs Chennaiyin FC?

NorthEast United 2-3 Chennaiyin FC in the India - Super League on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for NorthEast United vs Chennaiyin FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a NorthEast United win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split NorthEast United 39%, draw 28%, Chennaiyin FC 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (NorthEast United) ✗ Under 2.5
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