Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Cancun FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.29
Over 2.5
51%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.5pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
30%
Away Win
37%
-6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
40%
+8.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
60%
-8.8pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.5pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Correcaminos UAT EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Cancun FC EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.50/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.35
+11% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -10%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
378 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Correcaminos UAT
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cancun FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
01.02.2024 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 3-1 HT 1-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
06.08.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
26.01.2023 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
12.08.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-0 HT 0-0 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
02.03.2022 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT 0-1 HT 0-1 Cancun FC Cancun FC MEK2
11.08.2021 Cancun FC Cancun FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Correcaminos UAT Correcaminos UAT MEK2
POST-MATCH Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cancun FC got the better of Correcaminos UAT 3-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Correcaminos UAT at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Correcaminos UAT had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Correcaminos UAT and 0.67 for Cancun FC.

What was the final score of Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC?

Correcaminos UAT 1-3 Cancun FC in the Mexico - Primera A on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Correcaminos UAT vs Cancun FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Correcaminos UAT win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Correcaminos UAT 43%, draw 27%, Cancun FC 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Correcaminos UAT) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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