El Paso Locomotive 0-2 Orange County SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 17 Oct 2024

📅17/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.25
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
31%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.79
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.19
6+ Goals
10%
20.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
41%
+4.5pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
31%
Away Win
32%
-1.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.7pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME El Paso Locomotive EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Orange County SC EU Bookmakers 36%
-13% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
1.18/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.44
-3% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
19.0 Crosses 12.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME El Paso Locomotive
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Orange County SC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.98 xG 0.92
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
387 Passes 366
84% Pass Accuracy 82%
15 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 3
18.08.2024 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-1 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
22.10.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 1-0 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
10.09.2023 Orange County SC Orange County SC 0-0 HT 0-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
09.04.2023 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 1-0 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
09.10.2022 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive 2-1 HT 1-0 Orange County SC Orange County SC USLP
22.05.2022 Orange County SC Orange County SC 2-2 HT 1-0 El Paso Locomotive El Paso Locomotive USLP
POST-MATCH El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Orange County SC saw off El Paso Locomotive 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was El Paso Locomotive at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, El Paso Locomotive had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for El Paso Locomotive and 0.67 for Orange County SC.

What was the final score of El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

El Paso Locomotive 0-2 Orange County SC in the USL Championship on 17/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for El Paso Locomotive vs Orange County SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a El Paso Locomotive win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split El Paso Locomotive 45%, draw 24%, Orange County SC 31%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (El Paso Locomotive) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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