Gareji 3-2 Dila Gori — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.4
Draw
17%
3.94
Away
63%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
15%
+4.3pp
18%
Draw
22%
-4.4pp
63%
Away Win
63%
+0.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gareji EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Dila Gori EU Bookmakers 67%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +10%
0.67/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.79
-31% / +85% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +28%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
236 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 530 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gareji
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Dila Gori
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
42% Ball Possession 57%
6 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.08.2025 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-0 HT 1-0 Gareji Gareji GUR
24.04.2025 Gareji Gareji 0-1 HT 0-0 Dila Gori Dila Gori GUR
01.04.2025 Dila Gori Dila Gori 2-1 HT 1-0 Gareji Gareji GUR
12.09.2023 Gareji Gareji 1-2 HT 0-1 Dila Gori Dila Gori GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gareji
3-2
AWAY Dila Gori
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gareji vs Dila Gori
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gareji squeezed past Dila Gori 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Dila Gori at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gareji had 49% of the ball to Dila Gori's 51%, shots finished 7-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dila Gori led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Gareji and 1.75 for Dila Gori.

What was the final score of Gareji vs Dila Gori?

Gareji 3-2 Dila Gori in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gareji vs Dila Gori?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dila Gori win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Gareji 20%, draw 18%, Dila Gori 63%. The final score 3-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dila Gori) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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