Telavi 0-2 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒18:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.5
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
52%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
19%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
53%
Away Win
49%
+3.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.4pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 54%
-4% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +18%
0.68/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.29
-41% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -26%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
283 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
41% Ball Possession 59%
6 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.08.2025 Saburtalo 2-3 HT 2-2 Telavi Telavi GUR
24.04.2025 Telavi Telavi 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
28.02.2025 Saburtalo 2-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
05.10.2024 Telavi Telavi 1-2 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
04.08.2024 Saburtalo 1-1 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
19.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
0-2
AWAY Saburtalo
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo beat Telavi 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Telavi had 56% of the ball to Saburtalo's 44%, shots finished 12-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Telavi and 1.67 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Saburtalo?

Telavi 0-2 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Telavi 24%, draw 24%, Saburtalo 53%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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