Saburtalo 2-3 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 2 Aug 2025

📅02/08/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
12%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.95
Over 2.5
53%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.29
No
49%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
35%
X/2
3%
X/X
6%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-1.6pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.9pp
12%
Away Win
9%
+2.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.3pp
49%
BTTS No
60%
-11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 12%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
2.24/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.59/2.26
-6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
398 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Telavi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.04.2025 Telavi Telavi 0-0 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GUR
28.02.2025 Saburtalo 2-0 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
05.10.2024 Telavi Telavi 1-2 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
04.08.2024 Saburtalo 1-1 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
19.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
02.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
2-3
AWAY Telavi
67% Ball Possession 33%
22 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telavi edged past Saburtalo 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Saburtalo carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 67% of the ball to Telavi's 33%, shots finished 22-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Saburtalo and 0.33 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Telavi?

Saburtalo 2-3 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 02/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 71%, draw 18%, Telavi 12%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saburtalo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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