Telavi 0-3 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.2pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 45%
-8% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -19%
0.40/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.59
-67% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / -31%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Saburtalo
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
02.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
28.11.2023 Telavi Telavi 3-0 HT 2-0 Saburtalo GUR
24.09.2023 Saburtalo 0-1 HT 0-1 Telavi Telavi GUR
30.07.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GURCK
28.05.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
13.04.2023 Saburtalo 3-0 HT 2-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
0-3
AWAY Saburtalo
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo ran out comfortable winners over Telavi 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Saburtalo made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Telavi had 45% of the ball to Saburtalo's 55%, shots finished 8-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Telavi and 1.33 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Saburtalo?

Telavi 0-3 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Telavi win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Telavi 38%, draw 27%, Saburtalo 35%. The final score 0-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Telavi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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