Saburtalo 1-1 Telavi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.96
No
47%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
56%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.4pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.8pp
47%
BTTS No
53%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Telavi EU Bookmakers 22%
-6% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -3%
1.55/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.03
-20% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +65%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Saburtalo
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Telavi
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
19.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
02.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
28.11.2023 Telavi Telavi 3-0 HT 2-0 Saburtalo GUR
24.09.2023 Saburtalo 0-1 HT 0-1 Telavi Telavi GUR
30.07.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GURCK
28.05.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Saburtalo
1-1
AWAY Telavi
67% Ball Possession 33%
17 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 1
9 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Saburtalo vs Telavi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo and Telavi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Saburtalo at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Saburtalo had 67% of the ball to Telavi's 33%, shots finished 17-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Saburtalo and 0.67 for Telavi.

What was the final score of Saburtalo vs Telavi?

Saburtalo 1-1 Telavi in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Saburtalo vs Telavi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Saburtalo 49%, draw 26%, Telavi 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Saburtalo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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