Telavi 1-2 Saburtalo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.87
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
43%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
22%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
22%
+8.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
43%
Away Win
53%
-9.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-3.7pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telavi EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Saburtalo EU Bookmakers 57%
+11% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +4%
1.25/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.84/1.51
+11% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / -33%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
239 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telavi
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Saburtalo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.08.2024 Saburtalo 1-1 HT 0-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
19.04.2024 Telavi Telavi 0-3 HT 0-1 Saburtalo GUR
02.03.2024 Saburtalo 1-0 HT 1-0 Telavi Telavi GUR
28.11.2023 Telavi Telavi 3-0 HT 2-0 Saburtalo GUR
24.09.2023 Saburtalo 0-1 HT 0-1 Telavi Telavi GUR
30.07.2023 Telavi Telavi 0-1 HT 0-0 Saburtalo GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telavi
1-2
AWAY Saburtalo
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Telavi vs Saburtalo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Saburtalo edged past Telavi 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Saburtalo as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Telavi had 57% of the ball to Saburtalo's 43%, shots finished 17-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Saburtalo led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Telavi and 1.00 for Saburtalo.

What was the final score of Telavi vs Saburtalo?

Telavi 1-2 Saburtalo in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telavi vs Saburtalo?

Before kick-off our model rated an Saburtalo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Telavi 30%, draw 26%, Saburtalo 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Saburtalo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Saburtalo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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