Al Kholood 5-1 Najma — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒18:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.75
No
46%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Kholood EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Najma EU Bookmakers 27%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -42% / -42%
1.85/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.97
+9% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -29%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
30.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
12.8 Crosses 13.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Kholood
5-1
AWAY Najma
3.80 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 88%
33 Box Touches 26
8 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Kholood vs Najma
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Kholood cruised past Najma 5-1. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Kholood as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Al Kholood had 46% of the ball to Najma's 54%, shots finished 11-14, expected goals 3.80 to 1.11.

What was the final score of Al Kholood vs Najma?

Al Kholood 5-1 Najma in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Kholood vs Najma?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Kholood win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Al Kholood 47%, draw 25%, Najma 28%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Kholood), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Kholood) ✓ BTTS Yes
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