Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 17 Oct 2025

📅17/10/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
22%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.31
2-3 Goals
39%
1.86
4-5 Goals
23%
2.77
6+ Goals
12%
7.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
58%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.3pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
+0.1pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
2.28/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.64
-3% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
402 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 77%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.4
20.7 Crosses 12.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.89 xG 1.21
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
340 Passes 322
84% Pass Accuracy 81%
33 Box Touches 19
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
10.01.2025 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-2 HT 2-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
11.05.2024 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 1-2 HT 1-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
25.11.2023 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh SUUD
27.06.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
21.02.2022 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh 2-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SAKK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
1-1
AWAY Al Shabab Riyadh
2.06 xG 1.23
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
486 Passes 191
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
24 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah and Al Shabab Riyadh shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 68% of the ball to Al Shabab Riyadh's 32%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 2.06 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.33 for Al Shabab Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 Al Shabab Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 17/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Shabab Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 54%, draw 23%, Al Shabab Riyadh 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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