Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Shabab Riyadh v Al Ahli Jeddah — Team-Based Signals
Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
0-0
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SUUD
2-1
HT 0-0
Al Ahli Jeddah
SAKK
3-4
HT 2-2
Al Shabab Riyadh
SUUD
Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 Al Ahli Jeddah — Actual Match Statistics
Al Shabab Riyadh got the better of Al Ahli Jeddah 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match lean was Al Ahli Jeddah at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.
On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 49% of the ball to Al Ahli Jeddah's 51%, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 2.16 to 1.32.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Al Shabab Riyadh and 1.50 for Al Ahli Jeddah.
What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Al Shabab Riyadh 3-1 Al Ahli Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Ahli Jeddah?
Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 32%, draw 25%, Al Ahli Jeddah 43%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.