Al Taawon 0-1 Al-Qadsiah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
55%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.88
2-3 Goals
35%
1.82
4-5 Goals
28%
2.97
6+ Goals
12%
9.33
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+3.9pp
21%
Draw
22%
-0.8pp
55%
Away Win
58%
-3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
+0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -27% / -27%
1.07/2.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.91
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -38% / +21%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
256 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 83%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.8
13.4 Crosses 31.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Taawon
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.14 xG 1.71
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 331
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
19 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 23
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2025 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
07.01.2025 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-3 HT 0-2 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SAKK
24.09.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SAKK
15.03.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-1 HT 1-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SAKK
13.02.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-2 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
29.10.2020 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Taawon
0-1
AWAY Al-Qadsiah
0.40 xG 2.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
9 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
572 Passes 308
91% Pass Accuracy 85%
12 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Taawon vs Al-Qadsiah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al-Qadsiah squeezed past Al Taawon 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al-Qadsiah as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Taawon had 63% of the ball to Al-Qadsiah's 37%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.40 to 2.68 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Al-Qadsiah's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al Taawon and 1.17 for Al-Qadsiah.

What was the final score of Al Taawon vs Al-Qadsiah?

Al Taawon 0-1 Al-Qadsiah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Taawon vs Al-Qadsiah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Al Taawon 23%, draw 21%, Al-Qadsiah 55%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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