Damac FC 1-0 Al Raed — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒19:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
32%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.82
No
47%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.05
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
13%
14.45
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.54 — our 23% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.5pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.5pp
47%
BTTS No
49%
-2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Damac FC EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Raed EU Bookmakers 27%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.54/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.44
-14% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -8%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
18.9 Crosses 15.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Damac FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Raed
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.19 xG 1.39
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
366 Passes 316
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2025 Al Raed Al Raed 0-2 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
27.05.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
15.12.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 0-1 HT 0-1 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
15.05.2023 Al Raed Al Raed 5-0 HT 2-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
05.01.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 1-2 HT 0-2 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
26.02.2022 Damac FC Damac FC 3-2 HT 2-1 Al Raed Al Raed SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Damac FC
1-0
AWAY Al Raed
0.89 xG 0.56
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
383 Passes 342
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Damac FC vs Al Raed
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Damac FC squeezed past Al Raed 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Damac FC as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Damac FC had 52% of the ball to Al Raed's 48%, shots finished 13-12, expected goals 0.89 to 0.56.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Damac FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Damac FC and 1.67 for Al Raed.

What was the final score of Damac FC vs Al Raed?

Damac FC 1-0 Al Raed in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Damac FC vs Al Raed?

Before kick-off our model rated a Damac FC win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Damac FC 43%, draw 25%, Al Raed 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Damac FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Damac FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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