Al-Qadsiah 0-3 Al Taawon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 Jan 2025

Al-Qadsiah
0-3 HT 0-2
Al Taawon
📅11/01/2025 · 🕒17:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League – 2024/2025

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Taawon Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.61
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.96
No
56%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
40%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.63
6+ Goals
7%
15.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 27.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
58%
-4.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.9pp
25%
Away Win
17%
+7.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.8pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al-Qadsiah v Al Taawon — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al-Qadsiah EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Taawon EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -2%
1.84/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.74
-25% / +99% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 77%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
24.4 Crosses 16.7
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Al-Qadsiah vs Al Taawon Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al-Qadsiah
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Al Taawon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.49 xG 1.78
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
300 Passes 330
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
21 Box Touches 28
18 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.01.2025 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-3 HT 0-2 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SAKK
24.09.2023 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SAKK
15.03.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-1 HT 1-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SAKK
13.02.2021 Al Taawon Al Taawon 0-2 HT 0-1 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD
29.10.2020 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Taawon Al Taawon SUUD
12.04.2019 Al Taawon Al Taawon 2-0 HT 1-0 Al-Qadsiah Al-Qadsiah SUUD

Al-Qadsiah 0-3 Al Taawon — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al-Qadsiah
0-3
AWAY Al Taawon
1.65 xG 0.44
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
11 Corners 2
393 Passes 293
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
33 Box Touches 6
44 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Al-Qadsiah vs Al Taawon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Taawon swept aside Al-Qadsiah 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Al-Qadsiah at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 57% of the ball to Al Taawon's 43%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.65 to 0.44 — on chances, Al-Qadsiah could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.00 for Al Taawon.

What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Taawon?

Al-Qadsiah 0-3 Al Taawon in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Taawon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 53%, draw 22%, Al Taawon 25%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Al-Qadsiah), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al-Qadsiah) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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