Al Fayha 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
48%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.61
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.05
6+ Goals
12%
10.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.61 — our 28% vs market 21.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.1pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
48%
Away Win
59%
-10.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Fayha EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 62%
+6% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
1.10/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.98
-35% / +111% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +41%
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
258 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 82%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.8
15.2 Crosses 19.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Fayha
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.57 xG 1.84
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
395 Passes 509
84% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-1 HT 2-1 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
31.10.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-3 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SAKK
29.09.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
27.05.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
13.03.2023 Al Fayha Al Fayha 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SAKK
19.01.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 3-0 HT 3-0 Al Fayha Al Fayha SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Fayha
1-1
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
0.60 xG 2.12
31% Ball Possession 69%
6 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 10
237 Passes 595
82% Pass Accuracy 89%
14 Box Touches 24
13 Crosses 28
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Fayha vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Fayha and Al Ittihad-Jeddah couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ittihad-Jeddah at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Fayha had 31% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 69%, shots finished 6-11, expected goals 0.60 to 2.12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Al Fayha and 2.17 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Fayha vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Fayha 1-1 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Fayha vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ittihad-Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Fayha 25%, draw 27%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 48%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ittihad-Jeddah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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