Al Orubah 0-5 Al Hilal Riyadh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 11 Jan 2025

📅11/01/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
16.01
Draw
20%
6.26
Away
62%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.59
Over 2.5
63%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
2.4
No
49%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.31
2-3 Goals
38%
1.95
4-5 Goals
28%
2.52
6+ Goals
15%
5.91
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
41%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
3%
+14.3pp
20%
Draw
12%
+7.7pp
62%
Away Win
84%
-21.9pp
37%
Under 2.5
35%
+1.9pp
63%
Over 2.5
65%
-1.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
38%
+13.7pp
49%
BTTS No
62%
-13.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Orubah EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh EU Bookmakers 90%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +1%
1.36/1.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/0.82
-88% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
246 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 478 · 86%
12.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 36.3
17.0 Crosses 21.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Orubah
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
26% Ball Possession 74%
8 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 10
147 Passes 573
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
17.02.2015 Al Orubah Al Orubah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
08.08.2014 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh 4-1 HT 2-0 Al Orubah Al Orubah SUUD
20.12.2013 Al Orubah Al Orubah 2-3 HT 1-0 Al Hilal Riyadh Al Hilal Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Orubah
0-5
AWAY Al Hilal Riyadh
0.15 xG 3.23
25% Ball Possession 75%
2 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
139 Passes 585
66% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 38
9 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Orubah vs Al Hilal Riyadh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hilal Riyadh swept aside Al Orubah 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Hilal Riyadh as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Al Orubah had 25% of the ball to Al Hilal Riyadh's 75%, shots finished 2-16, expected goals 0.15 to 3.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Hilal Riyadh led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Orubah and 2.33 for Al Hilal Riyadh.

What was the final score of Al Orubah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Al Orubah 0-5 Al Hilal Riyadh in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 11/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Orubah vs Al Hilal Riyadh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Hilal Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Al Orubah 18%, draw 20%, Al Hilal Riyadh 62%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Hilal Riyadh) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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