Aston Villa (K) vs Crystal Palace (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa (K) v Crystal Palace (K) — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa (K) 3-2 Crystal Palace (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa (K) nicked a narrow win over Crystal Palace (K) 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Aston Villa (K) as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 62% of the ball to Crystal Palace (K)'s 38%, shots finished 22-12, expected goals 1.34 to 1.34.
What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)?
Aston Villa (K) 3-2 Crystal Palace (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs Crystal Palace (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 54%, draw 25%, Crystal Palace (K) 21%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.