Almeria 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
3.0
6+ Goals
13%
9.07
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
2.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
12%
4.5
X/2
9%
8.59
X/X
14%
5.47
2/1
7%
22.1
2/2
12%
5.93
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.9pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.3pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Almeria EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.70/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.52
+16% / -28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -19%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
17.7 Crosses 15.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Almeria
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.24 xG 0.80
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
226 Passes 358
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.03.2020 Almeria Almeria 4-0 HT 2-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
06.10.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
22.03.2019 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS2
19.11.2018 Almeria Almeria 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
28.02.2015 Almeria Almeria 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS1
28.09.2014 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 HT 0-0 Almeria Almeria İS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Almeria
2-1
AWAY Deportivo La Coruna
2.04 xG 0.84
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
465 Passes 384
88% Pass Accuracy 84%
34 Box Touches 15
24 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Almeria nicked a narrow win over Deportivo La Coruna 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Almeria as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Almeria had 54% of the ball to Deportivo La Coruna's 46%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 2.04 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Almeria's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almeria had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Almeria and 0.17 for Deportivo La Coruna.

What was the final score of Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Almeria 2-1 Deportivo La Coruna in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Almeria win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Almeria 46%, draw 26%, Deportivo La Coruna 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Almeria), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Almeria) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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