Real Oviedo 3-1 Tenerife — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.75
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
16%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.44
Over 2.5
36%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.53
No
63%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.0
2-3 Goals
35%
1.87
4-5 Goals
17%
6.79
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.41
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.1
X/1
21%
3.6
X/2
5%
9.8
X/X
18%
3.56
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
6%
9.54
2/X
7%
19.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
53%
-0.7pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.8pp
16%
Away Win
18%
-2.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
66%
-1.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
34%
+1.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
36%
+1.4pp
63%
BTTS No
64%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Tenerife EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -5%
1.60/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.41
+6% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -7%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
426 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 73%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
27.1 Crosses 14.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Oviedo
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Tenerife
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.50 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
272 Passes 307
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
12 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.04.2024 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-1 HT 0-1 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
14.08.2023 Tenerife Tenerife 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
10.03.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
30.11.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 0-1 HT 0-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
21.01.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 4-0 HT 2-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
28.08.2021 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-0 HT 0-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Oviedo
3-1
AWAY Tenerife
1.71 xG 1.46
45% Ball Possession 55%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
264 Passes 310
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Oviedo vs Tenerife
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Oviedo got the better of Tenerife 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Real Oviedo as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Real Oviedo had 45% of the ball to Tenerife's 55%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.71 to 1.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tenerife led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Real Oviedo and 1.00 for Tenerife.

What was the final score of Real Oviedo vs Tenerife?

Real Oviedo 3-1 Tenerife in the Spain - 2nd Division on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Oviedo vs Tenerife?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Oviedo win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Real Oviedo 53%, draw 32%, Tenerife 16%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Oviedo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Real Oviedo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
17 Nov 2024
18:15 Cadiz vs Cordoba Analysis →
20:30 Cartagena vs Huesca Analysis →
20:30 Almeria vs Deportivo La Coruna Analysis →
23:00 Real Zaragoza vs Malaga Analysis →