Magallanes 1-1 Nublense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Chile - Cup, 17 Nov 2024

Magallanes
1-1 HT 1-0
Nublense
📅17/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Chile - Cup – 2024

Magallanes vs Nublense Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.4pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-1.0pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Magallanes v Nublense — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Magallanes EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nublense EU Bookmakers 30%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.86/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/0.75
-50% / +121% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -78% / +36%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
343 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
11.5 Crosses 21.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Magallanes vs Nublense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Magallanes
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Nublense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.60
1.49 xG 1.27
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
407 Passes 280
80% Pass Accuracy 75%
16 Box Touches 28
15 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.11.2024 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-1 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİK
16.07.2023 Magallanes Magallanes 1-1 HT 0-1 Nublense Nublense ŞİL
28.01.2023 Nublense Nublense 3-2 HT 1-0 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİL
28.10.2020 Magallanes Magallanes 0-0 HT 0-0 Nublense Nublense ŞİLİB
02.03.2020 Nublense Nublense 2-1 HT 1-1 Magallanes Magallanes ŞİLİB

Magallanes 1-1 Nublense — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Magallanes
1-1
AWAY Nublense
2.51 xG 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 2
316 Passes 237
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
30 Box Touches 19
37 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Magallanes vs Nublense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Magallanes and Nublense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Magallanes at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Magallanes had 57% of the ball to Nublense's 43%, shots finished 19-7, expected goals 2.51 to 0.83.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Nublense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Magallanes and 1.60 for Nublense.

What was the final score of Magallanes vs Nublense?

Magallanes 1-1 Nublense in the Chile - Cup on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Magallanes vs Nublense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Magallanes win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Magallanes 42%, draw 32%, Nublense 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Magallanes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Magallanes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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