FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 Lokomotiv Gomel — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
61%
-4.5pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.7pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
2.58/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.44
+13% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +44%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
402 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Volna Pinsk
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Gomel
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2024 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 0-3 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
10.09.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
09.10.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
25.07.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
30.05.2020 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
POST-MATCH FC Volna Pinsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk got the better of Lokomotiv Gomel 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Volna Pinsk as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for FC Volna Pinsk and 1.00 for Lokomotiv Gomel.

What was the final score of FC Volna Pinsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 Lokomotiv Gomel in the Belarus - 1st Division on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Volna Pinsk vs Lokomotiv Gomel?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split FC Volna Pinsk 56%, draw 23%, Lokomotiv Gomel 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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