Lokomotiv Gomel 0-3 FC Volna Pinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
3.32
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
52%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.15
Over 2.5
51%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
No
51%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
11%
X/1
5%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
24%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
26%
-6.4pp
28%
Draw
23%
+5.0pp
52%
Away Win
51%
+1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
43%
+6.0pp
51%
Over 2.5
57%
-6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk EU Bookmakers 56%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -31% / -31%
0.99/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.60
-14% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / -23%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
186 · 52% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
2W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2023 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
09.10.2021 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
25.07.2021 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel 1-1 HT 1-1 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk BLR1
30.05.2020 FC Volna Pinsk FC Volna Pinsk 2-3 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Gomel Lokomotiv Gomel BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Gomel
0-3
AWAY FC Volna Pinsk
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Gomel vs FC Volna Pinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Volna Pinsk swept aside Lokomotiv Gomel 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had FC Volna Pinsk as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Lokomotiv Gomel had 41% of the ball to FC Volna Pinsk's 59%, shots finished 8-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Gomel had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Lokomotiv Gomel and 1.25 for FC Volna Pinsk.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Gomel vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Lokomotiv Gomel 0-3 FC Volna Pinsk in the Belarus - 1st Division on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Gomel vs FC Volna Pinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Volna Pinsk win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Gomel 20%, draw 28%, FC Volna Pinsk 52%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (FC Volna Pinsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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