Shakhtyor Petrikov 0-3 Dnepr Rogachev — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 25 Sep 2024

📅25/09/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
7.78
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
No
45%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
20%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
10%
+12.4pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.8pp
57%
Away Win
71%
-14.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtyor Petrikov EU Bookmakers 13%
Head to Head
AWAY Dnepr Rogachev EU Bookmakers 75%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -36% / -36%
1.41/2.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.52/1.56
+32% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -46%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
273 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 426 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.1
POST-MATCH Shakhtyor Petrikov vs Dnepr Rogachev
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dnepr Rogachev cruised past Shakhtyor Petrikov 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Dnepr Rogachev as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

What was the final score of Shakhtyor Petrikov vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Shakhtyor Petrikov 0-3 Dnepr Rogachev in the Belarus - 1st Division on 25/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtyor Petrikov vs Dnepr Rogachev?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dnepr Rogachev win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Shakhtyor Petrikov 23%, draw 20%, Dnepr Rogachev 57%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dnepr Rogachev) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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