Tyumen 0-1 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 17 Nov 2024

📅17/11/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
40%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.78
Over 2.5
55%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
23%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
22%
+10.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.7pp
40%
Away Win
53%
-12.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.3pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tyumen EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 57%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
0.84/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
-11% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
270 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tyumen
0W-0D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
01.09.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 3-0 HT 1-0 Tyumen Tyumen RUS1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tyumen
0-1
AWAY FC Sochi
29% Ball Possession 71%
2 Total Shots 14
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tyumen vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi nicked a narrow win over Tyumen 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 27% / 40% — and on the day FC Sochi made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tyumen had 29% of the ball to FC Sochi's 71%, shots finished 2-14.

What was the final score of Tyumen vs FC Sochi?

Tyumen 0-1 FC Sochi in the Russia - FNL on 17/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tyumen vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Sochi win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tyumen 33%, draw 27%, FC Sochi 40%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Sochi) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Sochi) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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